夏伟文 & 陈薛卉 (25 July 2016)
Unorganized soldiers
will never going to win war. Workers without proper instruction do not know
what should be done. Good system is needed not only for soldiers and company/workers
but also for the economy. A “good” system (either for economy, politic or
social) should have two fundamentals with different layer of priorities. First
layer of fundamental is “strong and efficient”. Second layer is “compassion”. A
weak system easily being corrupted and change too rapidly. Look at Malaysia
education system especially from secondary to tertiary level. How frequent it has
been changed? Yet, what is our standard and efficiency as compare internationally?
Look at Malaysia’s system to combat corruption? Why money politics, money
laundering, underground activities and high profile corruption-related cases
remain unsolved or “closed case”? Strong system does not guarantee efficiency
but week system never going to be efficient or consistent.
“Compassion” is
important but should be pushed to second layer in designing a good system. Take
this example of parents teaching their child. Over compassion (caring) to the
child may spoil him/her. Cane and strong character parents (system) may push
the child (economy) to be more efficient. Only after achieving efficiency, then
comes compassion because the rewards or benefits of economic growth (due to
having strong and efficient systems) should be re-distributed back generously
to the people. Then, this strong and efficient system will be supported by the
people and economic prosperity can be sustained.
In our previous article
(published at same column on 20th June 2016), we highlight two
aspects need foremost attention for remodelling a strong and efficient
(economic) system. They are (i) the needs to induce fair domestic competition
and (ii) reduce big government systems (will be discussed here). Having a small
government has three inter-related benefits. Firstly, big government’s (extreme
case is dictatorship) decision is usually less efficient than free market
outcome. Secondly, big government tend to lead to corruption, cronyism and
biasness towards certain groups and thus making competition unfair. This is
strongly advocated by Milton Friedman, an Economic Nobel Prize winner. Third,
big government is an unnecessary financial burden where public money can be
allocated to better use other than supporting administration expenses of an inefficient
and oversized public sector.
Over-size
public sector is a drag
Comparative statistics
in Table 1 show that Malaysia public sector is either over-size or not
efficient. This means that to achieve comparative efficiency like developed
countries, employees of public sector needs to be either (i) reduce in size or
(ii) increase in their contribution to overall economy output. Of course the
easier solution is the first one – reduce in size from a big government to a
smaller one.
Based
on Table 1, Malaysia spend almost one third (29.5%) of the gross domestic
products (GDP) to pay wages and various compensation to public servants. This
percentage is near to three times higher than South Korea, Australia and
Germany. It is about twice the percentage for Singapore and United States
government. Notice that United Kingdom spent 13.8% of their GDP on compensation
to public servant is relatively high compare to other developed countries. This
may be due to the data included the less developed Northern Ireland as compared
to England itself.
High
percentage of “compensation to (public sector) employee to GDP” (column 2 in
Table 1) is consistent with high total percentage of “total government
expenditure allocated for compensation to (public sector) employee” (column 1).
Malaysia’s 5.80% is comparable with United Kingdom, better than Thailand and
France but relatively much higher than other developed countries and even
Indonesia. If the countries allocated way too many expenses for purpose of
administration as compare to economic development purposes, it will not
conductive to promote growth in long term. It is like a company spending
majority of its revenue on administration with not enough budgets on marketing,
training and technology improvement.
France
is a good case of negative impact of high expenses on public sector
administration. It indicates government is either too big or inefficient or
both. In current debate on Great Britain exiting European Union (popularly
known as “Brexit”), France’s bad economic management (high unemployment and
slow GDP growth) is used as argument to support Brexit. Regardless of whatever
impact of European Union on France, the statistic in Table 1 can be a good
indicator or predictor of a trouble economy. What will happen to Malaysia’s
economy if we keep on pampering too much of our resources (money) to public
sector, which has improved but still way behind developed nation standard?
To
achieve standard of developed countries or at least prevent bad economy in near
future, Malaysia needs to cut the public sector at least by half. Will there be
chaos if we do cut down the public sector by half? Yet, are we willing to let
the big government to drag our economic growth? It is a choice that most likely
not preferred by current government.
Table
1: Government Expenditure on Compensation to Employee
Country
|
Percentage of total government
expenses (%)
|
Percentage to GDP (%)
|
Malaysia
|
5.80
|
29.5
|
Singapore
|
3.65
|
28.8
|
Indonesia
|
2.24
|
15.0
|
Thailand
|
7.11
|
39.6
|
South
Korea
|
1.87
|
10.2
|
Australia
|
2.75
|
10.5
|
Germany
|
1.73
|
11.9
|
France
|
9.45
|
39.6
|
United
Kingdom
|
5.95
|
13.8
|
United
States
|
2.57
|
16.4
|
Source: World Bank; statistic
shown is average from 2010 to 2012 (latest available data) all variables are in
current term and local currency unit.
Lesser bureaucracy, Easier “Doing
Business”
As Malaysia strives to achieve
developed nation status, conductive business environment is important. This
includes easiness of doing business in Malaysia. In this aspect, credit should
be given to former Prime Minister Abdullah Badawi. Through special agency named
PEMANDU (Performance Management and Delivery Unit), he initiated reformation to
reduce the bureaucracy in public service. Subsequently, it did reduced not only
waiting time for both consumer and business but cost of doing business.
Since Abdullah’s era, the cost of
to start a business (as percentage of income per capita) has been reduced from
around 27% in 2014 to 6.7% in 2016. This is a good achievement even though the
percentage is higher than developed countries like Singapore, Australia,
Germany, France, United Kingdom and United States. See Table 2. Procedure
required to start a business is also reduced from 10 in 2005 to just 3 in 2016.
Malaysia is ranked no. 18 out of 189 countries in “ease of doing business”.
Yet, beware that this remarkable
statistics may get worst if public sector is getting bigger and thus, becoming
a financial and efficiency burden.
Table 2: World Bank’s 2016 “Doing
Business” International Comparison
Country
|
Ease of doing business rank
(1st to 189th)
|
Cost to start a business (% of income
per capita)
|
Procedures required to start a business
(number)
|
Malaysia
|
18
|
6.7
|
3
|
Singapore
|
1
|
0.6
|
3
|
Indonesia
|
109
|
19.9
|
13
|
Thailand
|
49
|
6.4
|
6
|
South
Korea
|
4
|
14.5
|
3
|
Australia
|
13
|
0.7
|
3
|
Germany
|
15
|
1.8
|
9
|
France
|
27
|
0.8
|
5
|
United
Kingdom
|
6
|
0.1
|
4
|
United
States
|
7
|
1.1
|
6
|
Source:
“Doing Business 2016” yearly report at www.doingbusiness.org. “Doing Business” is under World
Bank.
Summary
If we take economic
analysis as human anatomy, public sector is like our blood vassals. It must not
be too large or too small but must be efficient to enable blood (economic
activities) to circulate to all over our body (whole economy/country).
Unfortunately, Malaysia public sector is too large. Yet, ruling government may
face serious negative consequences from public servants if they try to downsize
to force improvement of efficiency. The consequences may vary from protest to
loss of votes in general election. Has Malaysian public sector has becomes too
big to fail?
[Chinese version published at 南洋商报经济周刊 Nanyang Press – Business News, page A8 on 25th July 2016. Available online at www.enanyang.my/news/20160725/推动公共改革br-小政府大效率夏伟文、陈薛卉. This English version may be slightly different from the Chinese online/printed newspaper version]
[Chinese version published at 南洋商报经济周刊 Nanyang Press – Business News, page A8 on 25th July 2016. Available online at www.enanyang.my/news/20160725/推动公共改革br-小政府大效率夏伟文、陈薛卉. This English version may be slightly different from the Chinese online/printed newspaper version]
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