华商与经济转型系列70:槟城经济新浪潮(上) 自由港+服务业=竞争力
夏伟文 & 陈薛卉
Korean
Wave or Hallyu has successfully swept
over the world, boosting Korean economy and global image. Penang may think they
can take some inspiration from Hallyu
to do a Penang Wave to transform its social economic. Service sector and Penang
Freeport have been much talk about as best ingredients to trigger this wave. As
manufacturing sector in Penang has been well established, focus should now turn
to several potential service sub-sectors like “wholesales, retail,
accommodation and restaurant” of tourism-related industry, “financial service”,
“transport and storage” and “real estate and business service”.
Historically,
Penang was born as free port but is the free port status now going to bring
benefit to Penang? During Francis Lights colonial era, Penang free port
functioned to rival Dutch trading posts mostly located in Indonesia. After
independent, free port status is believed to attract foreign investors and tourists.
Penang free port status was revoked in 1969. Having many Free Trade Zones
(FTZs) around Penang Island may make free port rather abundant, thus being made
as one of the reason for revocation of its status.
Recently,
more and more calls asking for restoration of free port status to Penang,
particularly anchored by political parties. Perhaps, these calls are firstly
prompted by Democratic Action Party’s (DAP) objection to the proposed sale of
Penang Port to Syed Mokhtar Al-Bukhary, which drew immediate echo from
Malaysian Chinese Association (MCA).
Currently,
under the Northern Corridor of Economic Region (NCER), Penang Port has been
identified as important entrepot besides tapping on feeder services from
Thailand and Sumatera. Leveraging on UNESCO heritage status of Georgetown,
Penang Port do expected to offer tourism enhancement services from cruise to
facilitating import of inputs for tourism-related industry. A Penang Freeport
can fulfill Economic Transformation Program (ETP) needs of good infrastructure
to support economic growth. The first Entry Point Projects (EPP) for tourism is
“positioning Malaysia as a duty-free shopping destination for tourist goods”.
Freeport will be nicely compatible to that.
Therefore,
combination of free port and service sector in Penang could create a grand
Penang Economic Wave like the Korean. Thus, enthusiasm is high but there are
several aspects needed to be addressed before Penang Freeport become reality.
Import Duties Revenue
Firstly,
Freeport status will see the abolishment of import duties. Thus, how to recoup
or compensated the loss of this revenue? It is believed that Freeport can
stimulate growth on both manufacturing and service sectors. These could
increase tax revenues as well as other positive externalities like job
opportunity and good image to attract foreign direct investment. Let’s us do a
rough estimation. Table 1 shows the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of
manufacturing sector and service sub-sectors.
Table 1: GDP at Constant 2000 Price (RM
million)
Year 2010
|
Average 6 years (2005 to 2010)
|
|
Manufacturing
sector
|
22,884
|
22,751
|
Service
sector
|
||
Utilities, Transport,
Storage & Communication
|
4,029
|
3,469
|
Wholesale
& Retail Trade, Accommodation and Restaurants
|
6,276
|
5,486
|
Finance,
Insurance, Real Estate and Business Services
|
6,821
|
5,933
|
Other Services
|
2,168
|
1,900
|
Government
Services
|
2,073
|
1,903
|
(Source:
Malaysia Statistical Department)
Import
duties for 2010 is RM385 million while its six years (2005 to 2010) average
value is RM321 million. Current corporate tax is 25% while income tax is ranged
from 2% to 26%. Assume an appropriation of overall tax rate of 20% and average
profit margin to be subjected to tax of 20%. Thus, the loss of import duties
could be compensated by increase in both manufacturing and service sector by
21.7% from 2010 or 19.4% from the average level. By the way, ASEAN Economic
Community (AEC) by 2015 would request Malaysia (including Penang) to abolish
duties on all intra-ASEAN trade. Therefore, Penang Freeport may be better to
take advantage as first mover before AEC is fully implemented.
Free Trade and Competing Ports
Secondly,
fully implementation of free trade agreements will make free port redundant. Indeed,
this is one of the main reasons for hesitation to restore free port status to
Penang Port.
World
Trade Organization (WTO) required its members include Malaysia to practice free
trade under its General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS)
and General Agreement on Tariffs and
Trade (GATT). According
to Ministry of International Trade and Industry (MITI) website, Malaysia itself
or through ASEAN has established Free Trade Agreement (FTA) with countries like
Japan, Pakistan, New Zealand, India, Australia, Chile, China and South Korea.
Further FTAs are on negotiation process with Turkey, European Union and Organization
of Islamic Conference (OIC).
Besides,
Penang Freeport may still no match with its competitors, Port Klang in Selangor
and Port Tanjung Pelepas in Johor. According to Penang Monthly (dated 12th
September 2012), Penang Port may has long lost its glorious days. In 1950, the Penang Port handled 2.5 times as much
cargo as Port Klang (Port Swettenham). In 2010, Penang Port was merely handling
one-six of the cargo of Port Klang and less than one-third of the cargo of Port
Tanjung Pelepas. Singapore cargo is 17 times of Penang Port. Worst, bulk of Penang’s current sea trade is
based at the North Butterworth Container Terminal and Prai Bulk Cargo Terminal
on the mainland.
On
different point of view, Freeport if managed by experts could be catalyst to
achieve trade liberalization faster while transforming Penang economy and
improving Penang Port efficiency. A success example is Subic Bay in Philippines
that was transformed from military base to Freeport. It is now one of Philippines’s
main economic engines that house world 4th largest shipbuilding
facility and recorded 700 investment projects and plenty new jobs.
Being
positioned to the Northwest, a Penang Freeport could attract shipment or
transshipment to/from Malaysia’s trade partners like India, Pakistan, Middle
East countries (like Saudi Arabia and UAE) and Myanmar. Geographically, Penang
Port has advantage as sea route destination for these countries. Table 2 shows
their trade value with Malaysia. With such high value of trade and perhaps some
favorable swing of shipping rate over air and land cargo, Penang Freeport
stands to get cargo worth billions of dollar.
Table 2: Malaysia’s Export-Import with
Selected Northwest Trade Partners in 2011
Trade partners
|
Export
|
Import
|
Total
|
(USD billion)
|
(USD billion)
|
(USD billion)
|
|
India
|
9.21
|
3.33
|
12.54
|
UAE
|
4.20
|
2.68
|
6.88
|
Saudi Arabia
|
1.30
|
2.77
|
4.06
|
Pakistan
|
2.56
|
0.25
|
2.81
|
Myanmar
|
0.56
|
0.23
|
0.79
|
Total
|
17.82
|
9.26
|
27.08
|
The Halal
Attraction
Third,
having halal certification is clear advantage for Penang Port over its competitors,
given increasing global awareness and demand for halal methods in handling
halal products. Penang Port is certified with “MS1900:2005 Quality Management
System Requirement from Islamic Perspective on Provision of Container Handling
Services and Warehouse” by SIRIM. This enables Penang Port to be leading
gateway for halal product shipment. With such advantage, attracting shipment
from/to Islamic countries could be easier. Add a free port status would be better.
Conclusion
In
short, Penang Freeport does more good than harm for future economy of Penang as
well as Malaysia. However, those four aspects discussed need to be addressed
seriously. Not to be missed is its partners, namely the service sector in
Penang, in creating an unprecedented Penang Economic Wave.
[Chinese version published at Nanyang Press, 28th January 2013. Available online at http://www.nanyang.com/node/527239. This English version may be slightly different from the Chinese/ newspaper version]
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